Expires:No;;148660
FXUS63 KPAH 040850
AFDPAH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Paducah KY
250 AM CST Wed Dec 4 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Warmer and breezy conditions today ahead of a cold front that
  will bring another cold blast tonight. 

- Warmer temperatures return this weekend and into early next week.

- Rain chances return to the region Sunday into Monday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 250 AM CST Wed Dec 4 2024

GOES Ch-9 imagery shows an upper level shortwave moving 
southeast into the Midwest this morning. Low level WAA and moist
advection is ongoing leading to mostly cloudy to overcast skies 
across the region this morning. Temperatures are in the upper 
20's to mid 30's at this time. An approaching front will lead to
increasing southwest flow at the surface today. Wind gusts up 
to 35 mph will be possible, and possibly an isolated location 
may see close to 40. Warmer temperatures are also expected with 
highs in the upper 40's to upper 50's. Behind the front, strong 
6 hour pressure rises of 5 to 8 mb are modeled which will drive 
plummeting temperatures tonight. These pressure rises are also 
signaling gusty northwest winds behind the front. Lows tonight 
will drop into the teens to lower 20's. Wind chills early 
Thursday morning look to fall into the single digits across most
areas. Rain chances with this front look pretty limited, but a 
slight chance of rain is in the forecast for the Pennyrile area 
of western Kentucky. 

High pressure will settle across the Quad State Thursday into 
Friday favoring dry weather conditions and much below normal 
temperatures through Friday. More southerly flow develops on 
Saturday as the highs moves off to the east. This leads to 
moderating temperatures for the weekend. Likely chances of rain 
arrive for late Sunday into Monday ahead of a southern stream 
disturbance that lifts out of the southern plains. Temperatures 
on Monday may rise above seasonal norms with highs in the upper 
50's to lower 60's. 

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 1112 PM CST Tue Dec 3 2024

An area stratus around 5kft has developed and should spread 
east across the terminals this morning. Southwesterly flow will 
ramp up ahead of a cold front in the morning between 5-15 kts 
with gusts as high as 25 kts. The front will pass through this 
evening veering winds toward the northwest. Increasing flow just
off the deck will lead to some LLWS this morning.

&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...None.
MO...None.
IN...None.
KY...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...AD
AVIATION...AD