Expires:No;;165779 FGUS51 KTAR 041601 RVFBUF RIVER FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...NORTON, MA 1100 AM EST Wed Dec 04 2024 : :THIS IS A NWS GUIDANCE PRODUCT FROM THE NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER. :OFFICIAL FORECASTS/WARNINGS ARE ONLY ISSUED BY LOCAL NWS OFFICES. : :************************************************************ :Tonawanda Creek - Attica, NY :Flood stage 8.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 3.6 FT at Dec-04 1000 AM .ER ATTN6 20241204 E DC202412041100/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :1204: / 3.5 / 3.5 / 3.5 .E2 :1205: / 3.5 / 3.5 / 3.5 / 3.5 .E3 :1206: / 3.5 / 3.5 / 3.5 / 3.5 .E4 :1207: / 3.5 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.03/ 0.03/ 0.05/ 0.17/ 0.08/ 0.09/ 0.04/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.05/ 0.07/ :Stage Reading is Affected by Ice. Forecast Represents :Natural Flow. :************************************************************ :Tonawanda Creek - Batavia, NY :Flood stage 9.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 2.1 FT at Dec-04 1000 AM .ER BTVN6 20241204 E DC202412041100/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :1204: / 2.1 / 2.0 / 2.0 .E2 :1205: / 2.0 / 2.0 / 2.0 / 2.0 .E3 :1206: / 2.0 / 2.0 / 2.0 / 2.0 .E4 :1207: / 2.0 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.03/ 0.03/ 0.05/ 0.15/ 0.07/ 0.07/ 0.03/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.03/ 0.06/ :Stage Reading is Affected by Ice. Forecast Represents :Natural Flow. :************************************************************ :Tonawanda Creek - Rapids, NY :Flood stage 12.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 1.8 FT at Dec-04 1000 AM .ER RAPN6 20241204 E DC202412041100/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :1204: / 1.8 / 1.8 / 1.8 .E2 :1205: / 1.8 / 1.8 / 1.8 / 1.8 .E3 :1206: / 1.8 / 1.7 / 1.7 / 1.7 .E4 :1207: / 1.7 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.04/ 0.03/ 0.09/ 0.10/ 0.05/ 0.06/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.04/ : :************************************************************ :Cattaraugus Creek - Gowanda, NY :Flood stage 10.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 2.2 FT at Dec-04 1015 AM .ER GOWN6 20241204 E DC202412041101/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :1204: / 1.7 / 1.7 / 1.7 .E2 :1205: / 1.7 / 1.7 / 1.7 / 1.7 .E3 :1206: / 1.7 / 1.6 / 1.6 / 1.6 .E4 :1207: / 1.6 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.02/ 0.03/ 0.05/ 0.22/ 0.13/ 0.14/ 0.07/ 0.03/ 0.01/ 0.03/ 0.07/ 0.03/ :Stage Reading is Affected by Ice. Forecast Represents :Natural Flow. :************************************************************ :Buffalo Creek - Gardenville, NY :Flood stage 7.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 1.2 FT at Dec-04 1015 AM .ER GDVN6 20241204 E DC202412041101/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :1204: / 0.9 / 0.9 / 0.9 .E2 :1205: / 0.9 / 0.9 / 0.9 / 0.9 .E3 :1206: / 0.9 / 0.9 / 0.9 / 0.9 .E4 :1207: / 0.9 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.02/ 0.03/ 0.07/ 0.19/ 0.10/ 0.13/ 0.09/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.07/ 0.11/ :Stage Reading is Affected by Ice. Forecast Represents :Natural Flow. :************************************************************ :Cayuga Creek - Lancaster, NY :Flood stage 8.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 3.9 FT at Dec-04 1030 AM .ER LCSN6 20241204 E DC202412041101/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :1204: / 3.5 / 3.5 / 3.5 .E2 :1205: / 3.5 / 3.5 / 3.5 / 3.5 .E3 :1206: / 3.5 / 3.5 / 3.5 / 3.5 .E4 :1207: / 3.5 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.03/ 0.03/ 0.09/ 0.17/ 0.08/ 0.09/ 0.04/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.05/ 0.10/ :Stage Reading is Affected by Ice. Forecast Represents :Natural Flow. :************************************************************ :Cazenovia Creek - Ebenezer, NY :Flood stage 10.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 5.1 FT at Dec-04 1000 AM .ER EBZN6 20241204 E DC202412041101/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :1204: / 2.5 / 2.5 / 2.5 .E2 :1205: / 2.5 / 2.5 / 2.5 / 2.5 .E3 :1206: / 2.5 / 2.5 / 2.5 / 2.5 .E4 :1207: / 2.5 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.02/ 0.03/ 0.08/ 0.21/ 0.11/ 0.15/ 0.10/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.02/ 0.08/ 0.13/ :Stage Reading is Affected by Ice. Forecast Represents :Natural Flow. :************************************************************ :Ellicott Creek - Williamsville, NY :Flood stage 8.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 2.1 FT at Dec-04 1015 AM .ER WILN6 20241204 E DC202412041101/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :1204: / 2.1 / 2.1 / 2.1 .E2 :1205: / 2.1 / 2.1 / 2.1 / 2.1 .E3 :1206: / 2.1 / 2.1 / 2.1 / 2.0 .E4 :1207: / 2.0 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.03/ 0.03/ 0.11/ 0.13/ 0.06/ 0.07/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.02/ 0.06/ : :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Wellsville, NY :Flood stage 11.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 4.8 FT at Dec-04 0945 AM .ER WLLN6 20241204 E DC202412041101/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :1204: / 4.8 / 4.7 / 4.7 .E2 :1205: / 4.7 / 4.7 / 4.7 / 4.7 .E3 :1206: / 4.7 / 4.7 / 4.7 / 4.7 .E4 :1207: / 4.7 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.02/ 0.04/ 0.04/ 0.07/ 0.05/ 0.06/ 0.03/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.02/ 0.01/ : :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Portageville, NY :Flood stage 19.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 9.5 FT at Dec-04 1000 AM .ER PRTN6 20241204 E DC202412041101/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :1204: / 9.4 / 9.4 / 9.4 .E2 :1205: / 9.4 / 9.3 / 9.3 / 9.3 .E3 :1206: / 9.3 / 9.3 / 9.3 / 9.3 .E4 :1207: / 9.3 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.03/ 0.03/ 0.03/ 0.13/ 0.08/ 0.08/ 0.05/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.04/ 0.01/ : :RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Mount Morris Dam, NY :Flood stage 760.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 590.5 FT at Dec-04 1000 AM .ER MMDN6 20241204 E DC202412041101/DH13/HPIFF/DIH6 :POOL FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :1204: / 590.4 / 590.4 / 590.4 .E2 :1205: / 590.3 / 590.3 / 590.2 / 590.2 .E3 :1206: / 590.2 / 590.1 / 590.1 / 590.1 .E4 :1207: / 590.0 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.04/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.12/ 0.06/ 0.03/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.03/ 0.03/ : :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Avon, NY :Flood stage 33.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 18.2 FT at Dec-04 1000 AM .ER AVON6 20241204 E DC202412041101/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :1204: / 18.1 / 17.8 / 17.5 .E2 :1205: / 17.3 / 17.2 / 17.1 / 17.0 .E3 :1206: / 16.9 / 16.9 / 16.8 / 16.8 .E4 :1207: / 16.7 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.05/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.09/ 0.04/ 0.03/ 0.03/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.03/ : :RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION :************************************************************ :Oatka Creek - Garbutt, NY :Flood stage 6.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 2.5 FT at Dec-04 1000 AM .ER GRBN6 20241204 E DC202412041101/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :1204: / 2.5 / 2.5 / 2.5 .E2 :1205: / 2.5 / 2.5 / 2.5 / 2.5 .E3 :1206: / 2.5 / 2.5 / 2.5 / 2.5 .E4 :1207: / 2.5 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.04/ 0.02/ 0.03/ 0.12/ 0.05/ 0.05/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.02/ 0.03/ : :************************************************************ :Black Creek - Churchville, NY :Flood stage 6.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 1.7 FT at Dec-04 1000 AM .ER CHRN6 20241204 E DC202412041101/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :1204: / 1.7 / 1.7 / 1.7 .E2 :1205: / 1.6 / 1.6 / 1.6 / 1.6 .E3 :1206: / 1.6 / 1.6 / 1.6 / 1.6 .E4 :1207: / 1.6 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.05/ 0.03/ 0.04/ 0.08/ 0.03/ 0.06/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.02/ : :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Rochester, NY :Flood stage 15.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 6.3 FT at Dec-04 0700 AM .ER RHRN6 20241204 E DC202412041101/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :1204: / 6.3 / 6.3 / 6.2 .E2 :1205: / 6.1 / 6.0 / 6.0 / 5.9 .E3 :1206: / 5.9 / 5.9 / 5.8 / 5.8 .E4 :1207: / 5.8 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.05/ 0.02/ 0.02/ 0.08/ 0.03/ 0.05/ 0.03/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.02/ : :RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION :************************************************************ :Honeoye Creek - Honeoye Falls, NY :Flood stage 6.5 ft :Latest Observed Value - 3.0 FT at Dec-04 1030 AM .ER HNYN6 20241204 E DC202412041101/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :1204: / 2.9 / 2.9 / 2.8 .E2 :1205: / 2.8 / 2.8 / 2.8 / 2.8 .E3 :1206: / 2.8 / 2.8 / 2.8 / 2.8 .E4 :1207: / 2.8 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.05/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.08/ 0.04/ 0.05/ 0.05/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.03/ : :RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION :************************************************************ :Canandaigua Lake - Canandaigua, NY :Flood stage 690.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 687.6 FT at Dec-04 1015 AM .ER CNDN6 20241204 E DC202412041101/DH13/HPIFF/DIH6 :POOL FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :1204: / 687.6 / 687.6 / 687.6 .E2 :1205: / 687.6 / 687.6 / 687.6 / 687.5 .E3 :1206: / 687.5 / 687.5 / 687.5 / 687.5 .E4 :1207: / 687.5 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.04/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.08/ 0.03/ 0.04/ 0.05/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.02/ : :************************************************************ :Canandaigua Outlet - Chapin, NY :Flood stage 7.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 4.3 FT at Dec-04 1030 AM .ER CPNN6 20241204 E DC202412041101/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :1204: / 4.3 / 4.3 / 4.3 .E2 :1205: / 4.3 / 4.3 / 4.3 / 4.3 .E3 :1206: / 4.3 / 4.3 / 4.3 / 4.3 .E4 :1207: / 4.3 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : : :************************************************************ :Black River - Boonville, NY :Flood stage 10.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 4.3 FT at Dec-04 1000 AM .ER BOON6 20241204 E DC202412041101/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :1204: / 4.3 / 4.3 / 4.3 .E2 :1205: / 4.2 / 4.2 / 4.2 / 4.2 .E3 :1206: / 4.2 / 4.2 / 4.2 / 4.2 .E4 :1207: / 4.2 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.01/ 0.11/ 0.16/ 0.14/ 0.10/ 0.11/ 0.04/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.06/ : :************************************************************ :Moose River - McKeever, NY :Flood stage 12.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 3.3 FT at Dec-04 1030 AM .ER MCKN6 20241204 E DC202412041101/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :1204: / 3.3 / 3.2 / 3.2 .E2 :1205: / 3.2 / 3.2 / 3.2 / 3.2 .E3 :1206: / 3.2 / 3.1 / 3.1 / 3.1 .E4 :1207: / 3.1 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.01/ 0.06/ 0.07/ 0.09/ 0.08/ 0.08/ 0.06/ 0.03/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.05/ : :************************************************************ :Black River - Watertown, NY :Flood stage 10.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 4.5 FT at Dec-04 1030 AM .ER ARTN6 20241204 E DC202412041101/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :1204: / 4.5 / 4.4 / 4.3 .E2 :1205: / 4.3 / 4.2 / 4.2 / 4.1 .E3 :1206: / 4.1 / 4.1 / 4.0 / 4.0 .E4 :1207: / 4.0 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.01/ 0.07/ 0.09/ 0.10/ 0.11/ 0.08/ 0.05/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.04/ 0.09/ : :******************************************************************* : : $$ :NERFC :...END of MESSAGE...