FGUS53 KMSR 151618 CRFTMO RIVER FORECAST NWS NORTH CENTRAL RIVER FORECAST CENTER TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN 1112 AM CDT WED MAR 15 2023 : CONTINGENCY 168 Hour QPF CONTINGENCY : THIS PRODUCT HAS PRELIMINARY DATA THAT MAY BE SUBJECT TO REVISION. : REFER TO YOUR LOCAL WFO FOR THE LATEST OFFICIAL RIVER FORECAST. : : CONTINGENCY 168 Hour QPF CONTINGENCY : NOTE... This product includes observed precipitation, plus : forecast precipitation for the next 168 Hours. : :----------------------------------------------------------------- : ** TEST ** TEST ** TEST** : :these contingency forecasts multiplied the 7 day QPF by a :factor of five. :----------------------------------------------------------------- : : Fox River Wayland MO - WYLM7 : HSA=DVN Flood Stage=15.0 FT Fcst Issuance Stage=14.0 FT .ER WYLM7 0314 Z DH18/DC03151612/HGIP/DIH06 :6-Hr Obs Stage (ft) .E1 4.3/ 4.1/ 3.9/ 3.8 .ER WYLM7 0315 Z DH18/DC03151612/HGIC3/DIH06 :6-Hr Fcst Stage (ft) .E1 3.6/ 3.4/ 3.2/ 3.1/ 3.1/ 5.9/ 8.5/ 10.4 .E1 11.7/ 12.6/ 12.7/ 13.0/ 12.7/ 12.0/ 11.4/ 10.6 .E1 9.3/ 7.9/ 7.1/ 6.6/ 6.2/ 5.9/ 5.7/ 5.5 .E1 5.4/ 5.3/ 5.2/ 5.1/ 4.9/ 4.8/ 4.7/ 4.5 .E1 4.4/ 4.3/ 4.2/ 4.1/ 4.0/ 3.9/ 3.8/ 3.8 .E1 3.7/ 3.7/ 3.6/ 3.6/ 3.6/ 3.5/ 3.5/ 3.5 .E1 3.4/ 3.4/ 3.4/ 3.4/ 3.3/ 3.3/ 3.3/ 3.3 : : : : North Fabius River Ewing MO - EWNM7 : HSA=LSX Flood Stage=11.0 FT Fcst Issuance Stage=9.0 FT : CREST FORECAST .A EWNM7 0319 Z DH12/DC03151612/HGICXX 12.8 : .ER EWNM7 0314 Z DH18/DC03151612/HGIP/DIH06 :6-Hr Obs Stage (ft) .E1 5.7/ 5.5/ 5.3/ 5.2 .ER EWNM7 0315 Z DH18/DC03151612/HGIC3/DIH06 :6-Hr Fcst Stage (ft) .E1 5.1/ 5.0/ 4.9/ 4.9/ 5.0/ 5.2/ 5.7/ 6.3 .E1 7.0/ 7.8/ 8.7/ 9.9/ 11.2/ 12.2/ 12.7/ 12.8 .E1 12.5/ 11.9/ 11.2/ 10.5/ 9.8/ 9.1/ 8.5/ 8.0 .E1 7.7/ 7.4/ 7.2/ 7.0/ 6.9/ 6.8/ 6.7/ 6.5 .E1 6.3/ 6.2/ 6.0/ 5.7/ 5.6/ 5.4/ 5.3/ 5.2 .E1 5.1/ 5.1/ 5.0/ 5.0/ 4.9/ 4.9/ 4.9/ 4.8 .E1 4.8/ 4.8/ 4.7/ 4.7/ 4.7/ 4.7/ 4.6/ 4.6 : : : : Middle Fabius River Ewing MO - EWMM7 : HSA=LSX Flood Stage=12.0 FT Fcst Issuance Stage=9.5 FT : CREST FORECAST .A EWMM7 0319 Z DH06/DC03151612/HGICXX 13.2 : .ER EWMM7 0314 Z DH18/DC03151612/HGIP/DIH06 :6-Hr Obs Stage (ft) .E1 6.6/ 6.6/ 6.6/ 6.6 .ER EWMM7 0315 Z DH18/DC03151612/HGIC3/DIH06 :6-Hr Fcst Stage (ft) .E1 6.3/ 5.9/ 5.6/ 5.3/ 5.1/ 5.0/ 5.4/ 6.1 .E1 6.8/ 7.6/ 8.8/ 10.2/ 11.6/ 12.7/ 13.2/ 13.2 .E1 12.8/ 12.1/ 11.2/ 10.4/ 9.5/ 8.7/ 8.0/ 7.5 .E1 7.1/ 6.8/ 6.6/ 6.4/ 6.2/ 6.0/ 5.7/ 5.5 .E1 5.2/ 5.0/ 4.8/ 4.6/ 4.5/ 4.4/ 4.3/ 4.2 .E1 4.1/ 4.1/ 4.1/ 4.0/ 4.0/ 4.0/ 3.9/ 3.9 .E1 3.9/ 3.9/ 3.8/ 3.8/ 3.8/ 3.8/ 3.8/ 3.8 : : : : South Fabius River Taylor MO - TAYM7 : HSA=LSX Flood Stage=10.0 FT Fcst Issuance Stage=7.0 FT : CREST FORECAST .A TAYM7 0318 Z DH12/DC03151612/HGICXX 12.3 : .ER TAYM7 0314 Z DH18/DC03151612/HGIP/DIH06 :6-Hr Obs Stage (ft) .E1 2.8/ 2.8/ 2.8/ 2.8 .ER TAYM7 0315 Z DH18/DC03151612/HGIC3/DIH06 :6-Hr Fcst Stage (ft) .E1 2.7/ 2.5/ 2.4/ 2.2/ 2.2/ 3.7/ 6.5/ 9.5 .E1 9.8/ 10.5/ 11.7/ 12.3/ 11.6/ 10.5/ 9.7/ 8.9 .E1 7.6/ 6.5/ 5.6/ 5.0/ 4.4/ 3.9/ 3.6/ 3.5 .E1 3.4/ 3.3/ 3.2/ 3.1/ 3.0/ 2.9/ 2.8/ 2.8 .E1 2.7/ 2.6/ 2.6/ 2.6/ 2.5/ 2.5/ 2.5/ 2.5 .E1 2.4/ 2.4/ 2.4/ 2.4/ 2.4/ 2.3/ 2.3/ 2.3 .E1 2.3/ 2.3/ 2.2/ 2.2/ 2.2/ 2.2/ 2.2/ 2.2 : : : : North River Palmyra MO - PALM7 : HSA=LSX Flood Stage=13.0 FT Fcst Issuance Stage=11.0 FT : CREST FORECAST .A PALM7 0318 Z DH12/DC03151612/HGICXX 13.5 : .ER PALM7 0314 Z DH18/DC03151612/HGIP/DIH06 :6-Hr Obs Stage (ft) .E1 4.8/ 4.7/ 4.7/ 4.6 .ER PALM7 0315 Z DH18/DC03151612/HGIC3/DIH06 :6-Hr Fcst Stage (ft) .E1 4.6/ 4.6/ 4.6/ 4.6/ 4.7/ 6.3/ 8.7/ 10.4 .E1 12.0/ 13.1/ 13.3/ 13.5/ 12.3/ 11.7/ 10.6/ 9.6 .E1 8.8/ 8.7/ 8.7/ 8.3/ 7.9/ 7.3/ 6.7/ 6.0 .E1 5.8/ 5.6/ 5.4/ 5.3/ 5.2/ 5.2/ 5.1/ 5.1 .E1 5.0/ 5.0/ 5.0/ 5.0/ 4.9/ 4.9/ 4.9/ 4.9 .E1 4.9/ 4.8/ 4.8/ 4.8/ 4.8/ 4.8/ 4.8/ 4.7 .E1 4.7/ 4.7/ 4.7/ 4.7/ 4.7/ 4.7/ 4.7/ 4.6 : : : : Middle Fork Salt R Holliday MO - PMZM7 : HSA=LSX Flood Stage=17.0 FT Fcst Issuance Stage=15.0 FT : CREST FORECAST .A PMZM7 0318 Z DH18/DC03151612/HGICXX 19.2 : .ER PMZM7 0314 Z DH18/DC03151612/HGIP/DIH06 :6-Hr Obs Stage (ft) .E1 6.7/ 6.5/ 6.4/ 6.2 .ER PMZM7 0315 Z DH18/DC03151612/HGIC3/DIH06 :6-Hr Fcst Stage (ft) .E1 5.9/ 5.7/ 5.4/ 5.3/ 5.7/ 8.9/ 14.2/ 15.7 .E1 16.5/ 17.6/ 18.4/ 18.9/ 19.2/ 19.2/ 19.0/ 18.6 .E1 17.8/ 16.2/ 13.4/ 11.0/ 9.9/ 9.3/ 8.8/ 8.4 .E1 8.1/ 7.8/ 7.6/ 7.4/ 7.3/ 7.1/ 7.0/ 6.9 .E1 6.8/ 6.7/ 6.6/ 6.5/ 6.5/ 6.4/ 6.3/ 6.3 .E1 6.2/ 6.2/ 6.1/ 6.1/ 6.0/ 6.0/ 5.9/ 5.9 .E1 5.8/ 5.8/ 5.8/ 5.7/ 5.7/ 5.7/ 5.6/ 5.6 : : : : Salt River New London MO - NLDM7 : HSA=LSX Flood Stage=19.0 FT Fcst Issuance Stage=17.0 FT .ER NLDM7 0314 Z DH18/DC03151612/HGIP/DIH06 :6-Hr Obs Stage (ft) .E1 3.9/ 5.6/ 7.2/ 6.6 .ER NLDM7 0315 Z DH18/DC03151612/HGIC3/DIH06 :6-Hr Fcst Stage (ft) .E1 4.9/ 8.3/ 9.1/ 9.1/ 9.1/ 9.6/ 11.2/ 12.2 .E1 12.3/ 12.0/ 12.1/ 11.0/ 9.9/ 9.6/ 6.4/ 5.6 .E1 6.1/ 6.4/ 6.6/ 6.8/ 6.8/ 6.8/ 6.8/ 6.8 .E1 6.8/ 6.7/ 6.7/ 6.6/ 6.5/ 6.5/ 6.4/ 6.4 .E1 6.3/ 6.2/ 6.2/ 6.1/ 6.0/ 6.0/ 5.9/ 5.8 .E1 5.8/ 5.7/ 5.6/ 5.6/ 5.5/ 5.4/ 5.4/ 5.3 .E1 5.3/ 5.2/ 5.2/ 5.1/ 5.1/ 5.0/ 5.0/ 5.0 : : : : Cuivre River Troy MO - TRYM7 : HSA=LSX Flood Stage=21.0 FT Fcst Issuance Stage=19.0 FT : CREST FORECAST .A TRYM7 0318 Z DH00/DC03151612/HGICXX 27.6 : .ER TRYM7 0314 Z DH18/DC03151612/HGIP/DIH06 :6-Hr Obs Stage (ft) .E1 7.2/ 7.1/ 7.0/ 6.9 .ER TRYM7 0315 Z DH18/DC03151612/HGIC3/DIH06 :6-Hr Fcst Stage (ft) .E1 6.9/ 6.9/ 6.9/ 6.9/ 7.5/ 11.0/ 21.1/ 25.2 .E1 27.0/ 27.6/ 27.1/ 24.2/ 21.6/ 17.6/ 13.5/ 12.3 .E1 11.2/ 10.3/ 9.6/ 9.2/ 8.9/ 8.7/ 8.6/ 8.4 .E1 8.3/ 8.3/ 8.2/ 8.1/ 8.1/ 8.0/ 8.0/ 7.9 .E1 7.9/ 7.9/ 7.8/ 7.8/ 7.8/ 7.7/ 7.7/ 7.7 .E1 7.6/ 7.6/ 7.6/ 7.5/ 7.5/ 7.5/ 7.5/ 7.4 .E1 7.4/ 7.4/ 7.3/ 7.3/ 7.3/ 7.3/ 7.2/ 7.2 : : : : Cuivre River Old Monroe MO - OMNM7 : HSA=LSX Flood Stage=24.0 FT Fcst Issuance Stage=22.0 FT .ER OMNM7 0314 Z DH18/DC03151612/HGIP/DIH06 :6-Hr Obs Stage (ft) .E1 -9999/ -9999/ -9999/ -9999 .ER OMNM7 0315 Z DH18/DC03151612/HGIC3/DIH06 :6-Hr Fcst Stage (ft) .E1 -9999/ -9999/ -9999/ -9999/ -9999/ -9999/ -9999/ -9999 .E1 -9999/ -9999/ -9999/ -9999/ -9999/ -9999/ -9999/ -9999 .E1 -9999/ -9999/ -9999/ -9999/ -9999/ -9999/ -9999/ -9999 .E1 -9999/ -9999/ -9999/ -9999/ -9999/ -9999/ -9999/ -9999 .E1 -9999/ -9999/ -9999/ -9999/ -9999/ -9999/ -9999/ -9999 .E1 -9999/ -9999/ -9999/ -9999/ -9999/ -9999/ -9999/ -9999 .E1 -9999/ -9999/ -9999/ -9999/ -9999/ -9999/ -9999/ -9999 : : : : Dardenne Crk Dardenne MO - DRCM7 : HSA=LSX Flood Stage=18.0 FT Fcst Issuance Stage=16.0 FT : CREST FORECAST .A DRCM7 0317 Z DH12/DC03151612/HGICXX 22.7 : .ER DRCM7 0314 Z DH18/DC03151612/HGIP/DIH06 :6-Hr Obs Stage (ft) .E1 3.0/ 2.9/ 3.0/ 3.0 .ER DRCM7 0315 Z DH18/DC03151612/HGIC3/DIH06 :6-Hr Fcst Stage (ft) .E1 2.9/ 2.8/ 2.7/ 2.6/ 2.5/ 7.1/ 19.0/ 22.7 .E1 20.7/ 17.7/ 14.5/ 11.9/ 9.9/ 8.3/ 7.1/ 6.2 .E1 5.4/ 4.9/ 4.4/ 4.0/ 3.7/ 3.5/ 3.4/ 3.2 .E1 3.1/ 3.0/ 3.0/ 2.9/ 2.8/ 2.8/ 2.8/ 2.7 .E1 2.7/ 2.7/ 2.6/ 2.6/ 2.6/ 2.6/ 2.5/ 2.5 .E1 2.5/ 2.5/ 2.5/ 2.4/ 2.4/ 2.4/ 2.4/ 2.4 .E1 2.4/ 2.4/ 2.4/ 2.3/ 2.3/ 2.3/ 2.3/ 2.3 : : : :END $$ FCSTR EXT: 2538