FNUS71 KBTV 181456 FWSBTV Spot Forecast for Big Hollow Fire...VTFPR National Weather Service Burlington VT 956 AM EST Mon Nov 18 2024 Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1000 EST on November 18. If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather Service. Please contact our office at (802) 658-0207, if you have questions or concerns with this forecast. .DISCUSSION... A cold front will push across the region this morning, bringing low chances for additional showers this afternoon. Overnight precipitation brought little in the way of appreciable rainfall, and any rain this afternoon will be just a few hundredths at best. Skies will remain mostly cloudy through the day, and minimum relative humidity values will be around 70 percent. Light and variable winds this morning will turn to the west northwest after the frontal passage, becoming sustained at 5 to 10 mph with gusts to around 20 mph possible. .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Slight chance of rain showers late in the morning. Chance of rain showers late in the afternoon, then slight chance of rain showers late in the afternoon. Chance of pcpn......30 percent. LAL.................1. Begin/end of pcpn... Max temperature.....Around 47. Min humidity........70 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 6 mph shifting to the northwest 7 to 10 mph in the afternoon. Mixing height.......2000 ft AGL. Transport winds.....West 6 to 12 mph shifting to the northwest 14 to 17 mph in the afternoon. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (EST) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........94 91 84 81 81 82 83 81 Weather cov..... SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).10 20 20 30 30 30 30 20 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Temp............42 44 45 46 47 46 45 43 RH..............86 82 79 79 74 76 76 79 20 FT wind dir..SW SW W W W NW NW NW 20 FT wind spd..5 6 6 7 8 9 10 10 20 FT wind gust.8 9 10 12 14 15 16 17 Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.9 1.5 2.0 2.0 1.7 1.3 0.7 Transp wind dir.SW W W W NW NW NW NW Transp wind spd.6 8 12 14 15 16 17 16 Haines index....3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Slight chance of rain showers early in the evening. Chance of pcpn......20 percent. LAL.................1. Begin/end of pcpn... Min temperature.....Around 36. Max humidity........96 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 9 to 12 mph. Mixing height.......400 ft AGL. Transport winds.....North 10 to 15 mph. Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky (%).........74 63 70 75 79 79 78 76 77 77 78 76 Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH Weather type....RW RW RW Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).20 20 20 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Temp............42 41 41 40 39 39 39 39 38 38 38 37 RH..............79 82 82 85 89 89 89 85 89 89 89 92 20 FT wind dir..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW 20 FT wind spd..10 12 12 10 10 10 9 9 9 9 9 9 20 FT wind gust.17 17 17 17 17 16 15 16 16 16 15 15 Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 1.2 0.9 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 Transp wind dir.NW NW NW NW N N N N N N N N Transp wind spd.15 13 13 13 15 15 14 13 13 13 13 10 Haines index....3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 .TUESDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Chance of pcpn......10 percent. LAL.................1. Begin/end of pcpn... Max temperature.....Around 44. Min humidity........73 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 6 to 9 mph. Mixing height.......2200 ft AGL. Transport winds.....North 9 to 16 mph. Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........74 72 69 68 67 64 60 55 49 44 39 38 Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).10 10 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Temp............36 37 38 39 40 42 42 43 44 42 41 40 RH..............96 96 92 89 85 79 79 76 73 76 76 79 20 FT wind dir..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW N N N 20 FT wind spd..9 9 8 9 9 9 9 8 8 7 7 6 20 FT wind gust.14 14 14 15 15 15 14 14 13 12 10 9 Mix hgt (kft)...0.8 0.8 1.4 1.5 1.8 2.0 2.1 2.2 1.8 1.5 1.2 0.9 Transp wind dir.N N N N N N N N N N N N Transp wind spd.12 10 15 16 16 16 16 15 14 12 10 9 Haines index....2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 $$ Forecaster...Hastings Requested by...Dan Dillner Type of request...WILDFIRE .TAG 2426826.0/BTV .DELDT 11/18/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL dan.dillner@vermont.gov