FNUS71 KPBZ 181034 FWSPBZ Spot Forecast for BC3 Training...PA DCNR National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA 534 AM EST Mon Nov 18 2024 Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 EST on November 18. If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather Service. .DISCUSSION... Dry conditions continue today with highs several degrees above normal. A trend towards a colder and more active weather pattern begins midweek and will continue into next weekend. Above normal temperatures will transition to below normal by the end of the week. .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of pcpn......0 percent. LAL.................1. Max temperature.....Around 59. Min humidity........75 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming west around 5 mph in the late morning and early afternoon, then becoming light late in the afternoon. Mixing height.......2400 ft AGL. Transport winds.....West 5 to 9 mph. LVORI...............6. ADI.................5 to 19. Haines Index........3...or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (EST) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........76 78 73 70 59 57 44 50 Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Temp............50 54 57 57 59 59 58 57 RH..............100 91 82 82 78 76 75 78 20 FT wind dir..W W W W W W W W 20 FT wind spd..5 5 5 5 5 5 3 2 20 FT wind gust.8 8 10 10 10 8 7 6 Mix hgt (kft)...1.1 1.6 1.9 2.3 2.4 1.9 1.4 0.6 Transp wind dir.W W W W NW NW NW NW Transp wind spd.8 9 9 9 8 7 6 5 LVORI...........6 5 3 3 3 4 4 4 ADI.............11 15 17 19 17 13 10 5 Haines index....3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) then becoming mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Patchy fog early in the evening. Areas of fog early in the evening, then patchy fog overnight. Chance of pcpn......10 percent. LAL.................1. Min temperature.....Around 41. Max humidity........100 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Mixing height.......500 ft AGL. Transport winds.....North 3 to 5 mph shifting to the east 7 to 9 mph overnight. LVORI...............8. ADI.................2 to 4. Haines Index........3 to 4...or very low to low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky (%).........41 56 63 69 71 66 69 73 72 70 80 69 Weather cov..... PTY ARS ARS ARS ARS ARS ARS PTY Weather type.... FOG FOG FOG FOG FOG FOG FOG FOG Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10 0 0 10 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Temp............54 49 48 47 46 46 44 44 43 43 42 41 RH..............82 93 99 97 100 97 99 98 99 97 96 95 20 FT wind dir..NW NW N NE E E E E E E E E 20 FT wind spd..2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 3 3 20 FT wind gust.5 4 2 2 4 4 5 5 5 6 7 8 Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 Transp wind dir.NW N N NE NE E E E E E E E Transp wind spd.5 5 3 5 5 5 6 7 7 8 8 9 LVORI...........5 7 10 8 10 8 9 9 9 8 8 8 ADI.............2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 4 4 4 Haines index....3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 .TUESDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent) then becoming mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain late in the morning. Rain likely in the afternoon. Chance of pcpn......60 percent. LAL.................1. Max temperature.....Around 62. Min humidity........71 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 6 mph early in the morning. Mixing height.......1300 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southeast 9 to 13 mph shifting to the south around 9 mph late in the afternoon. LVORI...............5. ADI.................7 to 21. Haines Index........4...or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........52 35 23 19 27 34 51 69 74 78 83 86 Weather cov..... CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY Weather type.... RN RN RN RN RN RN RN Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).10 10 10 10 10 50 60 60 60 60 60 60 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Temp............42 42 44 49 54 58 60 61 60 60 60 58 RH..............92 94 90 83 78 72 71 72 73 76 78 83 20 FT wind dir..E E E E E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT wind spd..4 4 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 20 FT wind gust.10 10 10 10 10 11 11 11 11 11 10 10 Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.2 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.7 Transp wind dir.E E E E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S Transp wind spd.9 12 12 12 12 13 13 12 10 9 9 9 LVORI...........6 6 5 4 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 ADI.............7 9 9 9 18 21 21 16 13 11 10 10 Haines index....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 $$ Forecaster...MPK Requested by...Chad Gadsby, Fire Forester Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2426680.0/PBZ .DELDT 11/18/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL cgadsby@pa.gov