FNUS73 KDTX 281137 FWSDTX Spot Forecast for Argo Cascades Rx burn...City of Ann Arbor National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI 737 AM EDT Mon Oct 28 2024 Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0800 EDT on October 28. If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather Service. .DISCUSSION...The mid week warming trend begins today but only by a few degrees as high temperatures reach the lower 60s on light south wind. Increasingly warm and more humid air arrives while touching off showers late tonight and Tuesday morning. Gusty southwest wind helps temperatures reach or exceed record highs in the mid to upper 70s Tuesday and Wednesday. A cold front then tracks through on Thursday to bring additional showers and a return to more seasonable conditions. .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Max temperature.....Around 61. Min humidity........37 percent. Surface winds (mph).Light winds...becoming south 5 to 9 mph in the late morning and afternoon. Dewpoint............33...increasing to 35 late in the morning. Eye level winds.....South winds up to 7 mph. LAL................. Mixing height.......2800 ft AGL. Transport winds.....South 7 to 15 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Smoke Dispersal....Good (MAX...351). TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%)..........46 45 45 45 45 45 45 47 49 51 WEATHER COV...... WEATHER TYPE..... TEMP.............35 37 43 49 54 57 59 60 61 60 RH...............86 87 71 59 50 44 40 37 37 39 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S S S SE SE EYE LVL WND SPD.2 2 4 5 6 6 7 6 6 6 EYE LVL WND GST.6 7 8 10 11 12 14 13 12 12 MIX HGT (KFT)....0.4 0.3 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.3 2.6 2.8 2.8 2.7 TRANSP WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD..7 7 7 9 10 13 14 14 14 15 LAL.............M M M M M M M M M M HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 SMOKE DISPER......2 2 3 8 14 25 32 33 33 35 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain showers after 3 am. Slight chance of thunderstorms after 3 am. Rain showers likely early in the morning. Min temperature.....Around 46. Max humidity........95 percent. Surface winds (mph).Southeast winds 5 to 8 mph...becoming south around 9 mph early in the morning. Dewpoint............38...increasing to 48. Eye level winds.....Southeast winds up to 6 mph...becoming south around 7 mph early in the morning. LAL................. Mixing height.......400 ft AGL. Transport winds.....South 10 to 14 mph. Haines Index........3 to 4 OR very low to low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Smoke Dispersal....Poor (MIN...45). TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%)..........54 58 60 61 63 88 WEATHER COV...... CHANCE WEATHER TYPE.....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR TEMP.............58 50 47 47 47 50 RH...............43 64 77 80 84 89 EYE LVL WND DIR.SE SE SE SE S S EYE LVL WND SPD.6 5 4 4 5 6 EYE LVL WND GST.11 10 10 10 11 13 MIX HGT (KFT)....800 400 400 400 500 500 TRANSP WIND DIR..S SE SE S S S TRANSP WIND SPD..10 12 12 13 14 14 LAL.............M M M M M M HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 3 3 SMOKE DISPER......7 5 5 5 6 6 .TUESDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent)becoming mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Rain showers likely early in the morning. Slight chance of thunderstorms in the morning. Chance of rain showers early in the morning. Max temperature.....Around 79. Min humidity........52 percent. Surface winds (mph).South winds 10 to 18 mph with gusts to around 31 mph...becoming southwest around 20 mph with gusts to around 32 mph late in the afternoon. Dewpoint............53...increasing to 59 in the late morning and afternoon. Eye level winds.....South winds 8 to 14 mph with gusts to around 25 mph...becoming southwest around 16 mph with gusts to around 26 mph late in the afternoon. LAL................. Mixing height.......2700 ft AGL. Transport winds.....South 15 to 20 mph...increasing to southwest 24 to 31 mph in the late morning and afternoon. Haines Index........3 to 4 OR very low to low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Smoke Dispersal....Excellent (MAX...730). TIME (EDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM SKY (%)..........96 81 60 45 WEATHER COV......LIKELY CHANCE WEATHER TYPE.....RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE TEMP.............53 59 70 77 RH...............95 94 74 56 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S SW EYE LVL WND SPD.8 11 14 14 EYE LVL WND GST.16 19 22 25 MIX HGT (KFT)....600 1200 2200 2700 MIXNG WIND......S 15 SW 20 SW 30 SW 29 LAL.............M M M M HAINES INDEX....3 4 4 4 SMOKE DISPER......8 20 57 68 $$ Forecaster...Considine Requested by...Rachel Maranto Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2425047.0/DTX .DELDT 10/28/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL rmaranto@a2gov.org