FNUS73 KICT 300156 FWSICT SPOT FORECAST for 50th ave wildfire...Mulvane Fire Rescue National Weather Service WICHITA KS 856 PM CDT Tue Oct 29 2024 Forecast is based on forecast start time of 2100 CDT on October 29. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. Please contact us via NWS Chat, 800mhz radio or phone if you have questions or concerns with this forecast, ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT WEDNESDAY... .DISCUSSION... Gusty south winds will remain in place tonight into Wed morning at speeds in the 20 to 30 mph range with gusts around 40 mph. Low level moisture will increase throughout the night with RH values in the 70-80% range. Cold front is expected to move through early Wed evening with some scattered storms expected just ahead of it. .REST OF TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). CWR.................10 percent. Min temperature.....Around 68. Max humidity........76 percent. Wind (20 ft)........South winds 23 to 29 mph with gusts to around 40 mph. Mixing height.......400 ft AGL. Mixing winds........South 24 to 34 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (CDT) 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky (%).........63 64 68 73 77 82 88 93 95 Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 Temp............76 76 76 74 74 74 73 72 71 RH..............61 65 65 68 68 69 69 73 76 20 FT wind dir..S S S S S S S S S 20 FT wind spd..23 22 22 21 21 21 20 20 20 20 FT wind gust.31 31 32 31 30 31 31 30 30 Mix hgt (kft)...1.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.5 Mixing wind dir.S S S S S S S S S Mixing wind spd.29 30 31 31 30 28 25 23 22 Haines index....3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 .WEDNESDAY... Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the morning, then showers and thunderstorms likely in the afternoon. CWR.................10 percent increasing to 70 percent. Max temperature.....Around 76. Min humidity........69 percent. Wind (20 ft)........South winds 18 to 19 mph with gusts to around 30 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms early in the morning. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in the late morning and early afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms late in the afternoon. Mixing height.......3600 ft AGL. Mixing winds........Southwest 20 to 21 mph shifting to the northwest 16 to 20 mph in the late morning and afternoon. Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........91 96 94 91 89 89 90 90 92 94 96 85 Weather cov..... SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........ SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY CWR.............10 10 20 30 30 40 40 50 50 60 60 70 Temp............70 70 69 69 69 71 73 73 75 74 75 74 RH..............76 77 83 86 86 82 80 79 73 73 69 71 20 FT wind dir..S S S S S S S S S S S S 20 FT wind spd..19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 18 20 FT wind gust.30 29 30 29 29 29 30 30 30 30 28 26 Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.6 0.9 1.3 1.6 1.9 2.3 2.6 2.9 3.3 3.6 3.2 Mixing wind dir.S S SW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW Mixing wind spd.21 20 20 20 20 20 18 18 18 17 17 16 Haines index....3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) then becoming partly cloudy (25-35 percent) then becoming mostly clear (0-10 percent). Showers and thunderstorms likely early in the evening, then chance of showers and thunderstorms early in the evening. Slight chance of rain showers late in the evening. CWR.................70 percent decreasing to 10 percent. Min temperature.....Around 44. Max humidity........89 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 15 to 17 mph with gusts to around 23 mph shifting to the northwest 8 to 13 mph in the late evening and overnight. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms early in the evening. Mixing height.......2300 ft AGL early in the evening. Mixing winds........Northwest 15 to 16 mph early in the evening. Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky (%).........75 64 54 45 35 30 24 19 14 10 5 6 Weather cov.....LKY LKY CHC CHC SCH SCH Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........LKY LKY CHC CHC CWR.............70 70 50 40 20 20 10 0 0 0 0 0 Temp............72 68 64 60 57 55 53 52 51 49 47 45 RH..............76 82 84 82 78 79 80 81 82 85 88 89 20 FT wind dir..S S SW W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW 20 FT wind spd..17 16 15 13 12 11 11 11 10 10 9 8 20 FT wind gust.23 20 19 18 18 18 18 18 17 17 16 14 Mix hgt (kft)...2.7 2.3 M M M M M M M M M M Mixing wind dir.NW NW M M M M M M M M M M Mixing wind spd.16 15 M M M M M M M M M M Haines index....4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 $$ Forecaster...Lawson Requested by...Capt Jason Mundell Type of request...WILDFIRE .TAG 2425280.0/ICT .DELDT 10/29/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL jmundell@mulvane.us