FNUS73 KLMK 032004 FWSLMK Spot Forecast for Davis Bend...TNC National Weather Service Louisville KY 304 PM EST Sun Nov 3 2024 Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 EST on November 04. If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather Service. .DISCUSSION... Warmer air and breezy conditions will be in place for the start of the week. Highs will reach the upper 70s to near 80 both on Monday and Tuesday as southerly winds will increase to between 10 to 20 mph and gusts near 25 mph with a few locations reaching 30 mph. These southerly winds will also increase moisture over the area with minimum RH values between 50 to 60 percent. Our next chance of substantial rain appears to be late Tuesday as a cold front works into the area from the west and then stalls for the middle of the week. .MONDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Temperature.........72 at ignition...Max 77. RH..................59 percent at ignition...Min 52 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Winds south at 10 mph at ignition...otherwise South winds 8 to 12 mph. Mixing height.......2700 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 3500 ft AGL. Transport winds.....South 18 to 26 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Good /64100 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...good /68800 knot-ft/. LVORI...............1. ADI.................53 to 69. TIME (EST) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........66 73 72 62 64 58 65 Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ Temp............72 74 76 76 77 77 75 RH..............59 55 54 54 52 55 56 20 FT wind dir..S S S S S S S 20 FT wind spd..10 10 10 10 10 9 7 20 FT wind gust.14 14 14 14 14 14 13 Mix hgt (kft)...2.7 3.0 3.2 3.4 3.5 3.2 2.4 Transp wind dir.S S S S S S S Transp wind spd.26 26 24 23 22 21 18 LVORI...........1 1 1 1 1 1 1 ADI.............62 62 60 59 57 69 53 SDspl kt-ft/100064 68 67 69 66 58 39 .MONDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Temperature.........Min 62. RH..................Max 86 percent. Wind (20 ft)........South winds 6 to 8 mph. Gusts up to 21 mph overnight. Mixing height.......300 ft AGL. Transport winds.....South 16 to 24 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (4200 knot-ft). LVORI...............3. ADI.................11 to 22. TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky (%).........68 61 64 51 55 55 53 51 52 54 55 54 Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ Temp............72 71 67 66 65 65 65 64 64 64 64 63 RH..............61 64 76 78 81 81 82 84 84 82 82 84 20 FT wind dir..S S S S S S S S S S S S 20 FT wind spd..6 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 7 7 7 20 FT wind gust.12 11 12 13 13 13 13 13 14 14 15 15 Mix hgt (kft)...1.4 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.0 Transp wind dir.S S S S S S S S S S S S Transp wind spd.17 16 16 17 18 20 21 22 23 24 24 24 LVORI...........2 2 4 4 3 3 3 4 4 3 3 4 ADI.............19 11 15 15 16 17 19 20 20 21 22 22 SDspl kt-ft/100021 8 4 5 8 11 15 20 22 23 23 20 .TUESDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Slight chance of showers in the afternoon. Temperature.........Max 78. RH..................Min 56 percent. Wind (20 ft)........South winds 8 to 12 mph with gusts to around 18 mph. Mixing height.......4600 ft AGL. Transport winds.....South 22 to 30 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (18000 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to excellent (113900 knot-ft) in the afternoon increasing to good (51100 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to excellent (119400 knot-ft) in the afternoon in the afternoon. LVORI...............3. ADI.................22 early in the morning increasing to 88 in the afternoon. TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........53 52 45 39 32 31 30 29 36 43 50 52 Weather cov..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........ Temp............62 62 65 68 71 73 75 77 78 78 77 76 RH..............86 86 82 77 71 66 61 58 57 56 57 60 20 FT wind dir..S S S S S S S S S S S S 20 FT wind spd..7 7 8 9 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 9 20 FT wind gust.15 14 15 17 18 18 17 17 17 17 16 15 Mix hgt (kft)...0.9 1.0 1.6 2.4 3.2 3.8 4.3 4.6 4.6 4.3 3.8 2.7 Transp wind dir.S S S S S S S S S S S S Transp wind spd.24 24 25 28 29 30 30 30 29 28 25 22 LVORI...........4 4 3 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 ADI.............22 29 52 76 71 81 87 88 86 79 68 66 SDspl kt-ft/100018 21 35 57 80 99 114 119 117 104 83 51 $$ Forecaster...BTN Requested by...FMO Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2425623.0/LMK .DELDT 11/03/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL cminor@tnc.org