FNUS74 KLUB 012158 FWSLUB Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Hall 3218...tamfs National Weather Service Lubbock TX 458 PM CDT Fri Nov 1 2024 Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1700 CDT on November 01. If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather Service. If you have questions or concerns with this forecast, please contact our office at (806) 745-4926. .DISCUSSION... Winds will remain out of the southeast throughout the rest of the afternoon and into tonight, with speeds near 10 mph or less. RH values will continue to rapidly increase, rising above 80 percent towards midnight tonight. Mixing heights will be shunted by the thickening of a low stratus cloud deck, and will be followed by an increasing potential showers and thunderstorms nearing sunrise Saturday. Heavy rainfall is forecast. Strong wind gusts in excess of 50 mph will be possible with the stronger storms, resulting in sudden changes in wind direction in vicinity of these storms. The greatest coverage of storms should be towards noontime CDT tomorrow. Cloud-to-ground lightning will be a hazard. West Texas Mesonet observations are down until further notice due to a server error. Please use the Childress ASOS as the nearest official observation in the interim. Confidence in the prevailing wind and precipitation forecast is high. .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). CWR.................10 percent. LAL.................No Tstms. Max temperature.....Around 73. Min humidity........50 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds around 9 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (CDT) 5PM Sky (%).........71 Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ CWR.............10 LAL.............1 Temp............72 RH..............46 20 FT wind dir..SE 20 FT wind spd..9 20 FT wind gust.17 Haines index....3 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms overnight. Showers with thunderstorms likely after 3 am. CWR.................10 percent increasing to 90 percent. LAL.................No Tstms until 0100, then 9-15 strikes until 0400, then 16-25 strikes. Min temperature.....Around 58. Max humidity........100 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 6 to 9 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms overnight. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky (%).........72 72 70 75 78 86 93 95 94 94 96 97 Weather cov..... CHC CHC CHC DEF DEF Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........ CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY CWR.............10 0 0 0 10 10 10 40 40 40 90 90 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 3 3 3 4 4 Temp............70 68 67 63 62 62 62 62 62 62 61 61 RH..............51 61 65 75 81 87 90 93 97 97 100 100 20 FT wind dir..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT wind spd..9 8 7 7 6 6 6 7 6 6 7 7 20 FT wind gust.16 15 14 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 Haines index....3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 .SATURDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Rain showers in the morning and early afternoon. Thunderstorms likely through the day. Rain showers likely late in the afternoon. CWR.................90 percent decreasing to 60 percent late in the afternoon. LAL.................16-25 strikes. Max temperature.....Around 70. Min humidity........78 percent. Wind (20 ft)........South winds 7 to 10 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........97 94 97 94 96 96 97 97 92 85 78 72 Weather cov.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF LKY LKY Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY CWR.............90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 60 60 LAL.............4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 Temp............61 59 61 61 63 64 64 64 66 67 68 69 RH..............100 100 100 100 100 97 97 93 87 84 78 78 20 FT wind dir..SE SE SE SE SE S S S S S S SE 20 FT wind spd..7 8 8 8 9 9 10 10 10 10 10 10 20 FT wind gust.13 14 14 15 15 17 17 18 20 20 20 20 Haines index....3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 $$ Forecaster...SINCAVAGE Requested by...Dwayne Teel Type of request...WILDFIRE .TAG 2425529.0/LUB .DELDT 11/01/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL csdispatch@tfs.tamu.edu