FNUS74 KSHV 292338 FWSSHV Spot Forecast for Rusk 3170...Texas A&M Forest Service National Weather Service Shreveport LA 638 PM CDT Tue Oct 29 2024 Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1900 CDT on October 29. If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather Service. Please contact our office at (318) 631-3669 ext. 241, if you have questions or concerns with this forecast. .DISCUSSION... Strong south winds will remain in place tonight, with surface winds speeds between 10-15 MPH likely. Gusts to near 25 MPH will be possible as well. However, we should lose the gusts as the evening continues, with the sustained speeds falling to near 10 MPH past 9PM local. Scattered rain chances will return to the forecast by tomorrow morning, with more widespread rain chances returning to the area by Thursday AM. .REST OF TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent) then becoming mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). CWR.................0 percent. Temperature.........81 at forecast start...Min 69. RH..................51 percent at forecast start...Max 100 percent. Wind (20 ft)........ Slope/valley.......Winds southeast at 9 mph at forecast start...otherwise Southeast winds 9 to 10 mph with gusts to around 20 mph. Mixing height.......900 ft AGL at forecast start...otherwise 400 ft AGL. Transport winds.....South 17 to 21 mph. Transport winds m/s.South 8 to 9 meters/second. Dispersion index....12 increasing to 19 early in the morning. LVORI...............4. TIME (CDT) 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky (%).........18 1 1 2 3 8 14 25 64 70 68 Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 Temp............81 77 74 73 71 70 69 69 70 70 70 RH..............51 60 66 71 79 84 90 93 90 90 93 20 FT wind dir..SE SE SE S S S SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT wind spd..9 9 10 9 9 8 7 7 8 8 8 20 FT wind gust.18 19 20 19 19 18 18 18 18 18 18 Mix hgt (kft)...0.9 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.7 1.3 1.1 1.0 0.9 Transp wind dir.S S S S S S S S S S S Transp wind spd.17 17 20 21 21 21 18 21 18 18 18 Trans wind dir..S S S S S S S S S S S Trans spd (m/s).8 8 9 9 9 9 8 9 8 8 8 Dispersion idx..12 7 10 14 13 13 12 13 14 16 19 LVORI...........2 2 3 3 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 .WEDNESDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Slight chance of showers late in the morning. Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. CWR.................10 percent increasing to 20 percent late in the morning, then increasing to 50 percent early in the afternoon decreasing to 30 percent late in the afternoon. Temperature.........Max 84. RH..................Min 67 percent. Wind (20 ft)........ Slope/valley.......Southeast winds 9 to 13 mph with gusts to around 20 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in the afternoon. Mixing height.......3800 ft AGL. Transport winds.....South 18 to 24 mph. Transport winds m/s.South 8 to 11 meters/second. Dispersion index....24 increasing to 36 early in the morning, then increasing to 46 in the late morning and early afternoon increasing to 58 late in the afternoon decreasing to 49. LVORI...............3. TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........73 68 60 58 65 66 40 68 68 68 50 50 Weather cov..... SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........ CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CWR.............10 10 10 10 20 20 20 50 50 50 30 30 Temp............70 69 69 71 74 77 79 81 82 82 83 81 RH..............93 97 100 100 90 82 77 72 69 69 67 69 20 FT wind dir..SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S S S S 20 FT wind spd..8 8 10 11 12 13 13 11 12 12 12 12 20 FT wind gust.18 17 18 18 18 18 19 18 19 19 20 19 Mix hgt (kft)...1.1 1.2 1.3 1.7 2.2 2.3 3.0 2.7 3.0 3.5 3.8 3.1 Transp wind dir.S S S S S S S S S S S S Transp wind spd.18 18 18 21 22 22 21 21 24 24 23 22 Trans wind dir..S S S S S S S S S S S S Trans spd (m/s).8 8 8 9 10 10 9 9 11 11 10 10 Dispersion idx..22 26 32 39 44 46 46 47 54 61 62 49 LVORI...........5 4 4 4 4 3 3 2 2 1 1 2 .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of showers in the evening. Chance of thunderstorms through the night. Showers overnight. CWR.................30 percent increasing to 80 percent overnight. Temperature.........Min 69. RH..................Max 100 percent. Wind (20 ft)........ Slope/valley.......South winds 5 to 13 mph. Gusts up to 24 mph in the evening. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms early in the evening. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in the late evening and overnight. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms after 3 am. Mixing height.......1100 ft AGL. Transport winds.....South 15 to 21 mph. Transport winds m/s.South 7 to 9 meters/second. Dispersion index....31 decreasing to 14. LVORI...............4. TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky (%).........50 45 45 45 50 78 75 86 86 86 86 86 Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CWR.............30 30 30 30 30 30 30 80 80 80 80 80 Temp............80 78 73 72 72 72 72 72 72 71 71 71 RH..............74 79 97 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 20 FT wind dir..S S SE S S S S S S S S S 20 FT wind spd..11 9 9 9 8 7 6 6 6 5 5 5 20 FT wind gust.18 17 18 19 18 18 16 14 14 14 13 12 Mix hgt (kft)...2.0 1.2 1.2 1.5 1.8 1.7 1.6 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.3 1.1 Transp wind dir.S S S S S S S S S S S S Transp wind spd.20 18 18 20 21 21 21 21 20 18 17 15 Trans wind dir..S S S S S S S S S S S S Trans spd (m/s).9 8 8 9 9 9 9 9 9 8 8 7 Dispersion idx..31 16 15 19 23 24 24 23 21 18 15 14 LVORI...........2 3 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 .THURSDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Showers in the morning. Chance of thunderstorms through the day. Chance of showers in the afternoon. CWR.................80 percent decreasing to 40 percent in the afternoon. Temperature.........Max 80. RH..................Min 74 percent. Wind (20 ft)........ Slope/valley.......Southwest winds around 5 mph early in the morning becoming light, then becoming northwest around 5 mph early in the afternoon becoming light. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms. Mixing height.......3700 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southwest 9 to 14 mph shifting to the north around 8 mph late in the afternoon. Transport winds m/s.South around 6 meters/second shifting to the north around 4 meters/second late in the afternoon. Dispersion index....17 increasing to 28 late in the afternoon. LVORI...............5. TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........86 92 92 92 92 92 92 72 65 64 64 64 Weather cov.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CWR.............80 80 80 80 80 80 80 40 40 40 40 40 Temp............70 70 71 72 73 74 75 77 78 79 80 78 RH..............100 100 100 100 100 97 90 82 79 74 72 76 20 FT wind dir..S S S SW SW SW SW W W N N N 20 FT wind spd..4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 20 FT wind gust.10 10 10 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 7 Mix hgt (kft)...0.8 0.8 0.9 1.2 1.6 2.3 3.0 3.5 3.7 3.5 3.1 2.2 Transp wind dir.S S S SW SW SW SW SW W NW N N Transp wind spd.14 12 10 9 9 9 9 9 9 8 8 8 Trans wind dir..S S S SW SW SW SW SW W NW N N Trans spd (m/s).6 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 Dispersion idx..13 13 13 14 16 18 21 24 26 28 31 M LVORI...........6 6 6 5 5 4 4 3 3 3 3 M $$ Forecaster...DAVIS Requested by...Evelyn Foley Type of request...WILDFIRE .TAG 2425266.0/SHV .DELDT 10/29/24 .FormatterVersion 1.0.26 .EMAIL evelyn.foley@tfs.tamu.edu