FQAU24 AMMC 210800
IDY10250
SECURITE

High Seas Forecast for Southern METAREA 10
SOUTHERN AREA: 50S80E TO 50S160E TO ICE EDGE

Issued by the Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
For 24 hours commencing 1100 UTC 21 November 2024

Part 1 Warnings
Melbourne Storm Force Warning 8.
Melbourne Gale Warning 9.
Melbourne Gale Warning 12.

Part 2 Situation at 0600 UTC
Cold front [1] near 53S152E 56S164E 61S167E 64S158E. Forecast east of area by
211500UTC.

Cold front [2] near 50S101E 61S095E 62S093E. Forecast near 50S122E 55S122E
61S121E at 221200UTC.

Low 976hPa forecast to develop near 51S093E by 221200UTC.

Trough entering area from the west, forecast trough near 52S088E 56S082E
57S080E at 212100UTC and near 53S092E 57S090E 60S094E at 221200UTC.

Part 3 Forecast
Refer to latest warnings.

Whole area apart from area bounded by 50S126E 62S128E 60S138E 56S142E 50S152E,
50S126E, outside warning areas:
Westerly quarter winds, shifting northerly quarter within 720nm east of cold
front [2] and within 360nm east of trough, shifting southwesterly quarter
within 360nm west of cold front [2] and southwest of trough, and becoming
clockwise within 180nm of low. Wind speeds 20/33 knots. Rough to very rough
seas. Moderate to heavy swell.

Remainder:
Winds not exceeding 25 knots. Moderate to rough seas. Moderate to heavy swell.

Rain areas, scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms mostly within 300nm of
lows and within 180nm of fronts and troughs. Visibility reducing below 2nm in
precipitation.

Part 4 Ice edge
Approximately 58S080E 60S090E 60S100E 61S120E 63S130E 61S140E 62S160E.

Please be aware
Wind and wave forecasts are averages. Wind gusts can be 40 per cent stronger
than the forecast, and stronger still in squalls and thunderstorms. Maximum
waves can be twice the forecast height.


WEATHER MELBOURNE

The next routine forecast will be issued at 20:00 UTC Thursday.