NZUS95 KGJT 092015
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COZ001>014-017>023-UTZ022>025-027>029-100815-

Public Information Statement
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
115 PM MST Sat Nov 9 2024

Monday through Saturday

Long term deterministic models are finally getting into better agreement with the next system. Until then,
Monday will be a pleasant day and thanks to generally south through southwesterly flow, high temperatures
will jump to anywhere form 3 to 5 degrees above more seasonal mid-November values. As far as the
next system is concerned, EC and GFS ensembles are coming into agreement with a surface cold front
moving through the region during the day Tuesday. By the afternoon and evening hours, some light snow
will be possible over the spine of the Divide from the San Juans northward (EC) or just the northern
mountains (GFS). Previous runs had the GFS staying dry with the EC being more aggressive. Looks like the
GFS is trending upward some, while the EC is trending downward. A happy medium, as it were. As of now,
snow amounts still look to be in the sub-advisory range of 2 to 4 inches. 

After that, high pressure builds in bringing a return to tranquil weather. Some discrepancies pop up once again
with model solutions as the GFS brings a weak shortwave over the area just bringing some high clouds Friday. As this
occurs, energy drops down the West Coast and the GFS tries to close off a low over southern Cali. The EC, on
the other hand, doesnt show any short wave and tries to close off that same low over central Cali. Some differences
so well see how this all plays out over the next several model runs.