NZUS95 KSLC 151701
LLLSLC
UTZ101>131-WYZ021-160501-

Public Information Statement
National Weather Service Salt Lake City UT
1001 AM MST Fri Nov 15 2024

SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

Quiet weather starts out the long term period as the closed low remains well to our south and the shortwave pushes off to the northeast. Look for plenty of sunny skies with seasonal temperatures expected. An approaching upper level trough will bring another round of precip starting late Monday evening though the NBM might be starting things a little bit early as deterministic models introduce precip to the CWA heading more towards midnight. That being said, model agreement in previous runs, between the GFS and EC especially, was lacking but they are now in much better alignment. Ensembles and cluster guidance are also showing better agreement so confidence continues to increase with said trough. Clouds will begin to increase late Monday afternoon and evening with some showery activity possible over the higher terrain across the northern half of the CWA. By daybreak Tuesday, a surface cold front will start pushing through increasing coverage though guidance continues to suggest that the northern half (and a small portion of our San Juans) will see some precip. For you snow lovers...bad news, available moisture is rather limited in this scenario and this is reflected in low QPF and snowfall amounts. As of now, 2 to 4 inches is expected over the Flat Tops and Park Range with lesser amounts for the central mountains and eastern Uintas (1 to 2 inches). Once this system moves off, high pressure builds in and persists through Friday and into the weekend. On the backside of the trough, northwesterly flow will usher in cooler temps Tuesday and Wednesday before returning to and then exceeding those same seasonal values to round out the week.