NZUS96 KMTR 262134 LLLMTR Preliminary Local Storm Report National Weather Service San Francisco CA 234 PM PDT Mon Aug 26 2024 SYNOPSIS Warm up underway with above average temperatures through mid-week. Minor-to-moderate HeatRisk Tuesday and Wednesday. Slight cooling as temperatures trend towards normal for the second half of the week. SHORT TERM Marine layer making a gradual return as of this morning after being effectively mixed out by the trough over the past few days. This will lead to gradually increasing cloudiness along the coastal areas, and offer the usual protection from the warm up that will be going on inland. On that note, temperatures a bit warmer today than yesterday, as expected, and will lead us into the next couple of days of further warming. Expecting a bit more cloudiness and patchy fog overnight tonight along the coast as the subsidence aloft compresses the marine layer. LONG TERM A few more degrees of warming Tuesday and Wednesday, when the peak heat is expected. Mostly minor HeatRisk with some isolated areas of moderate for inland urban areas. At this time, no advisories or warnings will be posted given that the heat is expected to be relatively short-lived and not on the extreme end of above average. Generally we are looking at about 5-8 degrees above average across inland areas. By late Wednesday into Thursday, a progressive trough is progged to sweep through the PNW which would flatten the ridge slightly and bring some downward modulation to our temperatures. This trend is expected to continue through the weekend and into Labor Day where cluster analysis advertises a continuation of the progressive pattern with another trough affecting northern and central CA. This pattern will bring temps back down to around normal for much of the area by the weekend, perhaps a couple of degrees above. The longer term outlook from the Climate Prediction Center features an area of hedging towards above normal precip for the region, but this is likely picking up on the trough pattern that would deepen the marine layer and bring drizzle to coastal and upslope locations. && $$