WTIN20 DEMS 250703

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 25.06.2024
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (TH E BAY OF BENGAL
AND
THE ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 168 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF
25.06.2024
BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 25.06.2024.
BAY OF BENGAL:
A CYCLONIC CIRCULATION LAY OVER EASTCENTRAL BAY OF BENGAL AT 0300 UTC
OF
TODAY, THE 25TH JUNE, 2024.
SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO VERY INTENSE
CONVECTION LAY OVER CENTRAL & SOUTH BAY OF BENGAL, ANDAMAN SEA AND
TENASSERIM COAST. MINIMUM CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURE IS MINUS 80O TO 93OC.
SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE
CONVECTION LAY OVER NORTHEAST BAY OF BENGAL AND ISOLATED WEAK TO
MODERATE CONVECTION LAY OVER NORTHWEST BAY OF BENGAL.

PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 168
HRS:
24         24-48     48-72       72-96        96-120       120-144
144-168
HOURS      HOURS      HOURS       HOURS       HOURS         HOURS
HOURS
NIL        NIL       NIL          NIL         NIL           NIL
NIL

NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT
DAY

ARABIAN SEA:
SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO VERY INTENSE
CONVECTION LAY OVER CENTRAL & SOUTHEAST ARABIAN SEA, LAKSHADWEEP
ISLANDS
AREA, MALDIVES AND COMORIN AREA. MINIMUM CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURE IS
MINUS 80O
TO 93OC. SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO
INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER NORTHEAST ARABIAN SEA, GULF OF KUTCH,
GULF OF
CAMBAY AND SOUTHWEST ARABIAN SEA. ISOLATED WEAK TO MODERATE
CONVECTION
LAY OVER NORTHWEST ARABIAN SEA.

PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 168
HRS:
24        24-48      48-72       72-96       96-120       120-144
144-168
HOURS     HOURS     HOURS        HOURS        HOURS        HOURS
HOURS
NIL       NIL        NIL         NIL          NIL          NIL
NIL

NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT
DAY=