WWIN40 DEMS 230300 IWB (MORNING) DATED 23-11-2024 METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS: THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER EAST BANGLADESH & NEIGHBOURHOOD PERSISTS AND EXTENDS UPTO 1.5 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL. THE WESTERN DISTURBANCE NOW LIES AS A CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER AFGHANISTAN & NEIGHBOURHOOD AT 3.1 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL. UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE UPPER AIR CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER EAST EQUATORIAL INDIAN OCEAN AND ADJOINING SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA & SOUTHEAST BAY OF BENGAL, A LOW PRESSURE AREA FORMED OVER EAST EQUATORIAL INDIAN OCEAN AND ADJOINING SOUTHEAST BAY OF BENGAL, AT 0830 HOURS IST OF TODAY, THE 23 RD NOVEMBER 2024. IT IS LIKELY TO CONTINUE TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARDS AND INTENSIFY INTO A DEPRESSION OVER CENTRAL PARTS OF SOUTH BAY OF BENGAL AROUND 25 TH NOVEMBER. THEREAFTER, ITS LIKELY TO MOVE NORTHWESTWARDS TOWARDS TAMIL NADU- SRI LANKA COAST DURING SUBSEQUENT 2 DAYS. THE TROUGH FROM THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER EQUATORIAL INDIAN OCEAN TO GULF OF MANNAR NOW RUNS FROM THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER EAST EQUATORIAL INDIAN OCEAN AND ADJOINING SOUTHEAST BAY OF BENGAL TO COMORIN AREA AND EXTENDS UPTO 3.1 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL TILTING SOUTHWARDS WITH HEIGHT. THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER SOUTH KERALA AND NEIGHBOURHOOD AT 1.5 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL HAS BECOME LESS MARKED. RAINFALL FORECAST: AT MOST PLACES OVER ANDAMAN & NICOBAR ISLANDS; AT MANY PLACES OVER JAMMU-KASHMIR-LADAKH-GILGIT-BALTISTAN- MUZAFFARABAD. AT A FEW PLACES OVER LAKSHADEEP. AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ARUNACHAL PRADESH, ASSAM & MEGHALAYA, NAGALAND, MANIPUR, MIZORAM & TRIPURA, SUB-HIMALAYAN WEST BENGAL & SIKKIM, HIMACHAL PRADESH, COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH & YANAM, RAYALASEEMA, TAMIL NADU, PUDUCHERRY & KARAIKAL, KERALA & MAHE; LAKSHADWEEP; DRY WEATHER OVER REST PARTS OF THE COUNTRY WEATHER WARNINGS: 23 NOVEMBER (DAY 1): HEAVY RAINFALL (\u2265 7 CM) VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ANDAMAN & NICOBAR ISLANDS. DENSE FOG VERY LIKELY IN ISOLATED POCKETS OF PUNJAB AND HARYANA- CHANDIGARH-DELHI IN NIGHT/MORNING HOURS. THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER JAMMU-KASHMIR-LADAKH-GILGIT-BALTISTAN- MUZAFFARABAD. SQUALLY WEATHER WITH WIND SPEED 35 KMPH TO 45 KMPH GUSTING TO 55 KMPH IS LIKELY TO PREVAILING OVER MANY PARTS OF SOUTHEAST BAY OF BENGAL, SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA AND ADJOINING NORTH ANDAMAN SEA. FISHERMEN ARE ADVISED NOT TO VENTURE INTO THESE AREAS. 24 NOVEMBER (DAY 2): HEAVY RAINFALL (\u2265 7 CM) VERY LIKELY AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ANDAMAN & NICOBAR ISLANDS. SQUALLY WEATHER WITH WIND SPEED 35 KMPH TO 45 KMPH GUSTING TO 55 KMPH IS LIKELY TO PREVAILING OVER MOST PARTS OF SOUTHEAST BAY OF BENGAL AND ADJOINING PARTS OF SOUTHWEST BAY OF BENGAL, ANDMAN SEA. FISHERMEN ARE ADVISED NOT TO VENTURE INTO THESE AREAS.