Expires:201810220000;Remove:201810220000;505528 WWMY80 PGUM 210715 SPSMY Special Weather Statement National Weather Service Tiyan GU 515 PM ChST Sun Oct 21 2018 GUZ001>005-220000- Guam-Rota-Tinian-Saipan-Northern Islands- 515 PM ChST Sun Oct 21 2018 ...TROPICAL DISTURBANCE COULD IMPACT THE MARIANAS BY MIDWEEK... A tropical disturbance is currently located just north of Pohnpei, near 8N159E or about 1060 miles east-southeast of Saipan 1060 miles east-southeast of Tinian 1065 miles east-southeast of Rota 1075 miles east-southeast of Guam 1155 miles southeast of Pagan The disturbance is the subject of a Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert from the Joint Typhoon Warning Center. It is moving slowly westward and is expected to strengthen as it approaches the Marianas early this week. There is considerable uncertainty as to the exact track and strength of the system. Current computer model guidance has come into better agreement that the center should track near or north of Saipan Wednesday or Thursday. Residents of Guam and the Commonwealth of the Northern Marianas Islands should keep informed of the latest forecasts and statements from the National Weather Service and your local emergency management office. The latest weather forecasts and advisories are available on the WFO Guam website at www.prh.noaa.gov/guam $$